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Recently I wrote a diary that questioned whether or not former Governor and Senator Bob Kerrey (D) was surging in the latest polls. Both Kerrey's internal polling and new polling outfit, Pharos Research, showed the race tightening after Kerrey trailing for a long time now in the polls ranging from 16 to 20 points. Latest research shows Kerrey trailing Tea Party candidate, Deb Fischer (R) from 2 to 5 points and TPM had Fischer beating Kerrey by over 3 points. Well the Omaha based newspaper, the World-Herald, recently conducted their own poll and found Kerrey trailing Fischer by 3 points:
http://www.omaha.com/...
Kerrey trailed Fischer by only 3 percentage points in a statewide survey of 800 registered voters.
He has closed the gap considerably from five weeks ago, when he was behind by 10 points among registered voters in a World-Herald Poll.
The poll was conducted Oct. 23-25 by Wiese Research Associates of Omaha. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. - The World-Herald, 10/28/12
In a very Republican state, how has Kerrey managed to gain traction this late in the race? The World-Herald goes on to explain:
The latest poll comes as Kerrey has aggressively tried to undercut Fischer's lead by questioning her character in a series of television ads in which he and campaign surrogates criticized Fischer for suing her elderly ranch neighbors over a property dispute in 1995.
The negative onslaught has clearly worked, especially among independent voters. - World-Herald, 10/28/12
Here's the attack ad Kerrey has been using against Fischer:
Pretty harsh stuff but it's working. TPM now has Kerrey trailing Fischer by 2.8 points:
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/...
In The World-Herald Poll, Kerrey's numbers have risen in all three of the state's congressional districts and among men and women.
But his biggest gain was with voters who identify themselves as independents. In September, Kerrey held only a 6 percentage point lead among independent voters. As of last week, Kerrey held a 24-point lead among independents.
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Fischer continues to dominate western Nebraska, where she enjoys the support of 57 percent of registered voters in the 3rd Congressional District. Her support there dropped only slightly from September, when she had 60 percent among registered voters.
Kerrey also has managed to narrow the gender gap, although Fischer still remains strongest with male voters. In September, Fischer had a 20 percentage point lead among men. That has now dropped to 14 points. - World-Herald, 10/28/12
A lot of people have written off this race but there still might be a chance for Kerrey to be the 58th seat we could pick up in the Senate. If you want, help Kerrey keep this ad going, throw some money towards his campaign:
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https://secure.actblue.com/...